Fannie Mae forecasts 30-year mortgage rates falling to 5.7% by Q4 2026, down from ~6.0% in early 2026.
National Association of Realtors expects home sales to rise about 14% in 2026 as lower rates bring buyers back.
Single-family housing starts projected to drop 6.2% year-over-year through the first three quarters of 2026, limiting supply.
Construction expected to rebound 5.1% in 2027, but tight inventory in 2026 may keep competition elevated despite lower rates.
